Number Game

Numbers Game: Lovely jubbly Trotters

Friday 3rd February 2012 14:49

Bolton: Fancied at Norwich

Bolton: Fancied at Norwich

TEAMtalk's Numbers Game is back with a brand-new look as Matty Briggs picks out Bolton as his 11/4 Value Bet and Birmingham as the Banker.

The Numbers Game's increasing notoriety has led to a slick, new-look page and @MattPBriggs' popular betting blog now has its own home - where there is an archive of previous articles.

Dagenham & Redbridge (15/8) were the headline tip last weekend and they were the toast of TEAMtalk Towers as they came up trumps against Rotherham.

Huddersfield though was a dirty word in the office, as they failed to win at Tranmere - sinking the weekend's Banker.

But Famous Last Words did produce another two winners from two selections, with Brighton's win over Newcastle returning at 11/4 and Aldershot's win over AFC Wimbledon paying 2/1.

Sky Bet's Steamers also came good as both Cheltenham (11/10) and Shrewsbury (evens), who had both seen considerable early money, both chalked up away wins.

This week, the weather has wiped out several of our pointers, but Bolton (11/4) provide the value and they are fancied to win at Norwich, while Birmingham should get the Banker back on track by beating Southampton.

    Sunderland are gathering momentum with punters thanks to their recent run of fine form and they have been backed to go to Stoke and win. Stoke opened at evens, but have drifted out as far as 6/5 and could be bigger come the weekend.
    Also proving strong in the betting are Everton, in from 5/4 to 11/10, to win at Wigan. The Toffees' midweek display against Man City has restored the faith of the men from Goodison.
    Bolton to beat Norwich at 11/4.
    The Trotters have been gathering momentum and the midweek draw with Arsenal means they have lost just once in the Premier League in five games and that was against Man Utd. Owen Coyle looks to have a settled side and they look good value to add to their four away wins. The Canaries have been superb this term, but they were woeful in defeat at Sunderland and they have won just four of their 11 home games and the bookies simply hold them in too high a regard.
  • WHO'S HOT -
    Man Utd (15/8) have won their last three Premier League games and travel to Chelsea (6/4) (Sun).
    Huddersfield (11/10) are eight games unbeaten in League One and host MK Dons (12/5).
    Birmingham (11/10) have won their last six games in all competitions and host Southampton (5/2).
    Brighton (19/10 are four games unbeaten in the Championship and host Leicester (11/8).
    Cardiff (5/6) are six games unbeaten in the Championship and host Blackpool (16/5).
    Blackpool (16/5) are four games unbeaten in the Championship and travel to Cardiff (5/6).
    Chesterfield (7/2) have won their last four games and travel to Carlisle (8/11).
  • WHO'S NOT -
    Wolves (3/1) have gone 11 games in all competitions without a win and travel to QPR (10/11).
    Wigan (12/5) have lost their last five games in all competitions and host Everton (11/10).
    Peterborough (7/2) have lost their last three in the Championship and travel to Burnley (8/11).
    Nott'm Forest (23/10) have lost their last three in the Championship and travel to Derby (6/5) (Sun).
    Tranmere (17/10) are six games without a win in League One and travel to Wycombe (8/5).
    Sky Bet are not keen on Liverpool at home to Spurs on Monday night.
    "Liverpool are currently trading at evens for the big Premier League clash on Monday night and we wouldn't be rushing in to back them. Both teams won in midweek at a canter, but looking at the prices we're unsure whether Liverpool are worthy of such a short price. Backers will argue that they haven't lost at home this year, but the fact is they have won only four of their 11 home clashes. Spurs, notorious strugglers in the North West of England have won half of their games away this year, and are a good bet to upset the Reds.
    "In the Championship, we will be happy to take on Watford. The Hornets have lost star striker Marvin Sordell, and opponents Barnsley have lost their hitman Ricardo Vaz Te, but the Tykes still have goals in them. There won't be a lot between these two sides, and we can see the visitors taking at least a point here."
    Man Utd (15/8) have won five of the last six matches in all competitions against Chelsea (6/4).
    QPR (10/11) have won just one of their last 11 home matches in all competitions with Wolves (3/1).
    Fulham (9/1) have lost none of their last four away games against Man City (2/7).
    Millwall (5/1) have never won at West Ham (4/7) in 13 visits (12.30pm).
    Leeds (19/10) have won four of last five v Bristol C (11/8).
    Cardiff (5/6) unbeaten in last seven at home to Blackpool (16/5).
    Birmingham (11/10) have won their last five at home to Southampton (5/2).
    Carlisle (8/11) have won just one of last seven at home to Chesterfield (7/2).
    Huddersfield (11/10) have won four of their last five at home v MK Dons (12/5).
  • BANKER -
    Birmingham to beat Southampton at 11/10.
    Blues are in fine form winning their last six games and one-time leaders Saints have lost three of their last five away from home in the Championship. Chris Hughton's men are also unbeaten at St Andrew's - winning nine of their 13 games and they should be odds on.
    Nikola Zigic has scored six in four games and is 6/4 to score against Southampton.
    Barnsley's Andy Gray has three goals in three games and is 12/5 to score at Watford.
    Chesterfield to win at Carlisle at 4/1.
    Speaking after the 1-0 midweek win at Oldham in the JPT semi-final, John Sheridan said: "We worked our socks off against a very good Oldham side who we knew would create chances. They put us under pressure, but we defended, blocked shots and were always dangerous on the break. I'm really proud of all the players because our league form has improved after a poor run and we've carried that into the cups. Our league position still isn't good, but over the last seven or eight games the lads have been showing character and belief."
    Plymouth to beat Southend at 14/5.
    Speaking after Southend's 4-1 midweek defeat at home to Swindon, Paul Sturrock said: "It was the poorest performance I have had since I have been at Southend. We were sluggish, lethargic and you cannot get away with being like that against a team like Swindon. They have played Tuesday, Saturday and Tuesday but it was hard to see which was the fresh team. We gave away bad goals and our goalkeeper will put his hand up for a couple of those; the midfield were chasing shadows and the two strikers did not do what they were asked to do. It was not good enough all over the pitch and the players must now look at themselves in the mirror and stand up and be counted. I will be looking for a reaction at Plymouth on Saturday but it will be another hard game."

    Let us know your views on the weekend's football betting action by posting a comment below.
    You can follow Matty on Twitter at @mattpbriggs.



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