TEAMtalk's Matty Briggs says football's 'silly season' is underway and fancies Blackburn (3/1) to upset Swansea in the latest Numbers Game.
Wigan's midweek win over Manchester United signalled the start of 'silly season' and with that in mind next-to-bottom Blackburn are the Value Bet to win at much-lauded Swansea.
Newcastle were (15/8) to beat Liverpool in our last Numbers Game and they came up trumps to leave the Value Bet on £10.02 to a level £1 stake. Our Hot-Shots were also in the money too as Papiss Cisse (6/4) and Clayton Donaldson (5/2) found the net. The Treatment Room also provided a couple of winners with Brentford (7/2) winning at MK Dons and Birmingham (10/11) triumphant at Doncaster. And the Famous Last Words also nailed two from two with Accrington (11/10) and Notts County (5/6) also chalking up wins.
- VALUE BET -
Blackburn to win at Swansea at 3/1.
Both teams have lost four games on the spin, but Blackburn showed more in their 3-2 defeat by Liverpool than Swansea showed in their dismal showing at QPR. The Swans looked like they were already in Marbella after they slumped to a 3-0 defeat at Loftus Road and they continue to struggle for goals with only 19 in their 16 home games. Rovers are no world beaters, but they have a relegation battle to fight and are always capable of finding a goal from somewhere - usually from Yakubu. The visitors are not huge value, but they're worth taking a chance on.
- STEAMER -
Sheffield Wednesday are 10/11 from 5/4 to win away at Colchester after strong support. Wednesday are still in the automatic promotion hunt and will be well supported by travelling fans in Essex.
- WHO'S HOT -
Reading (11/5) won their last four Champ games and travel to Southampton 6/5 (Fri).
Cardiff (10/11) are six unbeaten in the Champ and travel to Barnsley (3/1).
Sheff Utd (1/3) won last five in League One and host L Orient (8/1).
Sheff Weds (10/11) won last four in League One and travel to Colchester (3/1).
Notts C (5/2) won last three in League One and travel to Brentford (11/10).
Charlton (8/5) won last three in League One and travel to Carlisle (13/8).
Swindon (4/9) won last three in League Two and host Plymouth (6/1).
Rotherham (3/1) won last three in League Two and travel to Shrewsbury (10/11).
Crewe (evens) 12 unbeaten in League Two and travel to Macclesfield (11/4).
Crawley (2/5) 10 unbeaten in League Two and host AFC Wimbledon (7/1).
- WHO'S NOT -
Wolves (11/2) lost last seven Prem games and travel to Sunderland (1/2).
Blackburn (3/1) lost last four Prem games and travel to Swansea (10/11).
Swansea (10/11) lost last four Prem games and host Blackburn (3/1).
Leeds (19/20) lost their last three Champ games and host Peterborough (14/5).
Doncaster (6/4) lost their last three games and host Portsmouth (13/8).
Crystal Palace (7/4) lost last three Champ games and host Ipswich (6/4).
Oldham (11/5) lost last five in League One and travel to Wycombe (6/5).
L Orient (8/1) lost last four in League One and travel to Sheff Utd (1/3).
Barnet (21/20) lost last four in League Two and host Hereford (5/2) (Fri).
Macclesfield (11/4) lost last three in League Two and host Crewe (evens).
AFC Wimbledon (7/1) lost last three in League Two and travel to Crawley (2/5).
- TRADERS' VIEW -
Sky Bet say Leeds look the team to be against this weekend. "Neil Warnock's dreadful start to life at Elland Road looks set to continue amid suspensions and injuries. The Whites (19/20) are still odds on at home against Peterborough (14/5) so we will be siding with the Posh."
Sky Bet are also opposing Swindon. "They are as short as 4/9 to see off Plymouth at home. Despite coming up against a strong defence the travelling Pilgrims have a strong chance of causing a threat after scoring in their last three games. Swindon are best left alone at such a short price as Plymouth look to continue a six-game unbeaten run."
- BOGEY TEAMS -
Arsenal (1/4) won all nine matches at home to Wigan (9/1) in all competitions (Mon).
Aston Villa (12/1) have won one of last 26 league visits to Man Utd (1/5).
Wolves (11/2) won last four meetings with Sunderland (1/2).
Man City (8/15) won four of last five v Norwich (11/2).
Liverpool (11/8) have progressed in three of last four FA Cup semis v Everton (2/1).
West Ham (8/13) won five of last six at home to Brighton (9/2).
Preston (12/5) unbeaten in last 11 at home v Huddersfield (11/10).
Tranmere (11/5) won three of last four at Walsall (5/4).
Gillingham (13/5) won four of last five trips to Oxford (evens).
Shrewsbury (10/11) won four of last five at home to Rotherham (3/1).
- BANKER -
Crewe to beat Macclesfield at evens.
The Alex are on a 12-game unbeaten run in League Two and are making a real charge for the play-offs and they should take care of Macc. The pressure is really on Macclesfield, who have not won in 19 games, and they look in severe danger of losing their league status.
- HOT-SHOTS -
Bristol City's Chris Wood has two in two and is 3/1 to score against Birmingham.
Burnley's Charlie Austin has five in four and is 11/8 to score v Coventry.
Leicester's Ben Marshall has four in his last seven and is 4/1 to score v Millwall.
Chesterfield's Craig Westcarr has three in five and is 5/2 to score at Hartlepool.
- TREATMENT ROOM -
Portsmouth to win at Doncaster at 13/8.
Doncaster's Frederic Piquionne, El-Hadji Diouf and Brian Stock are all doubtful v Portsmouth. Habib Beye (ankle) is also a worry, while midfielder Martin Woods (knee) and forward Habib Bamogo (hamstring) remain sidelined.
AFC Wimbledon DNB v Crawley at 9/2.
Sergio Torres is the latest Crawley player to be suspended ahead of the visit of AFC Wimbledon. He joins defenders Pablo Mills, Claude Davis and Kyle McFadzean on the sidelines with all three still banned for their part in the brawl at Bradford a fortnight ago.
Dagenham to win at Aldershot at 12/5.
Aldershot will be without midfielders Ben Smith and Rob Sinclair for their home clash against in-form Dagenham. Josh Payne is injured and Ross Worner (back), Alex Rodman (pulmonary embolism) and Michael Rankine (leg) have been ruled out for the rest of the season. Boss Dean Holdsworth could turn to some of his youngsters.
- FAMOUS LAST WORDS -
Chesterfield to beat Hartlepool at 13/5.
Speaking after Monday's 4-0 win over Wycombe, Chesterfield assistant boss Tommy Wright said: "We want to end the season on a positive note and keep performances like that going. I think the pressure was off and sometimes it's easier to play, but you still have to give credit to the players for the way they performed against Wycombe, who have been on a good run. You have to be honest, it's probably too far to catch up, but as I said we want to end the season on a positive note and give the fans some feeling that we can bounce back. I think they know and have faith in us that we can get back up there. It's probably too little too late, but the players still have to go out and perform and we have to be positive now and look to next season and try and get as many good performances as we can."
Rotherham to beat Shrewsbury at 16/5.
After Monday's 1-0 win over Bradford, Shrewbury boss Graham Turner said: "There is the element of nervousness about us as you come into this run-in and it's still very tight up there. We've shown a lot of resilience and protected our goal well under difficult circumstances and the most important thing is we've won. The result was everything. We had a very nervy second half, but I thought first half we played ever so well and might have been more than 1-0 ahead. We had some good opportunities."
You can follow Matty on Twitter at @mattpbriggs.