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Numbers Game: Bank on the Cottagers

Friday 2nd November 2012 15:34

Fulham: Tipped to see off Everton

Fulham: Tipped to see off Everton

Bet with SkyBet  Up To £30 Free Matched Bet

Fulham (7/4) are fancied to upset Everton this weekend in the Numbers Game, while there are 2/1 and 7/4 tips lower down the league ladder.

The Banker came up trumps last weekend as Tottenham (17/20) overcame Southampton, but the two Value Bet picks were turned over as Chelsea and Stevenage both lost. I had a better time in the Treatment Room as Blackburn (37/40) and Accrington (7/5) both won and Rotherham (4/5) and Oxford (13/8) both triumphed to leave the Famous Last Words with another profitable weekend.

This weekend Fulham are @MattPBriggs' headline tip to see off Everton, while West Brom are the Banker and there are all the usual advice and betting pointers ahead of the weekend.

VALUE BET



Fulham to beat Everton at 7/4.



Fulham are traditionally strong at Craven Cottage and this season they have started impressively on home soil - winning three of their four games. West Brom have already been tamed in west London, while Everton do have the tendency to throw in the odd dodgy result on the road. The Toffees came unstuck against West Brom in September and they might just find a Fulham side full of confidence.


STEAMERS



Bet365 say Liverpool are yet to convince under Brendan Rodgers, although we know it's going to take time, but I can't understand why our boys went 6/1 Newcastle - it's 5/1 now and whilst every man and his dog seems to be talking about the Geordies at such a huge price - cue an easy home victory! - surely the hosts are a lay so short.



Paddy Power says this week could be make or break for Mark Hughes with his QPR side languishing at the bottom of the Premier League with just three points gained from three draws so far this season, they face Reading on Sunday afternoon at Loftus Road.


Despite this however, punters feel that there was value to be found in backing QPR this week, having opened them up at evens for the first show, and having trimmed them several times they now have settled around the 5/6 mark.



Bet Victor say the 8-2 at 500/1 has been popular in the Man United v Arsenal game. And another 4-4 for Arsenal is 300/1. Robin van Persie was 8/1 and now 7/1 to be MOTM and that looks big as they will want to interview him if he scores (11/10) against his old club.



Sky Bet say Liverpool have been backed heavily and are 1/2 from 4/7 earlier in the week. I would find it hard to be backing Liverpool at such a short price and think they look a fantastic lay at the price. Mark Hughes is fancied to ease the pressure on himself by getting three points against Reading at the weekend. QPR are 4/5 from evens to get a much needed victory as Reading look to recover from their midweek misery against Arsenal.


WHO'S HOT



Man City (8/11) won last four Premier League games and travel to West Ham (4/1) (5.30pm).


Man Utd (4/6) won last three Premier League games and host Arsenal (9/2) (12.45pm).


Middlesbrough (21/10) won last four Championship games and travel to Charlton (6/4).


Sheffield United (10/11) won last three League One games and travel to Bristol R (3/1).


Yeovil (3/1) won last three League One games and travel to Preston (evens).


Doncaster (7/20) won last three League One games and host Bradford PA (8/1).


Rotherham (7/4) won last three league Two games and host Stevenage (13/8).


WHO'S NOT



Ipswich (100/30) lost last four Championship games and travel to Birmingham (18/19).


Bristol C (16/5) lost last four Championship games and travel to Huddersfield (22/23).


L Orient (4/6) lost last three League One games and face Gloucester (5/1) (Sun).


TRADERS' VIEW



Bet365: Not much around for Arsenal at Old Trafford despite their midweek fightback and Chelsea are hardly being backed off the boards at present.


Big Mick is back in management and whilst Birmingham looked a bet before his appointment, they probably don't now, and we're also seeing bits for Palace and Boro.


Let's not forget the FA Cup, Brentford are a lay surely?



Paddy Power: This week, I am again looking towards opposing Aston Villa. They were very poor last weekend at home to Norwich being completely outplayed for large parts of the game, and could very easily have conceded late on to lose the game.


Sunderland's home record this season shows one win and two draws and after this weekend Villa face Man Utd, Man City and Arsenal and with all that in mind I fancy Sunderland at a price of 11/10 to start off Aston Villa's 'Winter of Discontent'.



Sky Bet: As usual both Manchester sides are hugely popular in all the accas. Both are 4/6 and we are more than happy to take them on, United face Arsenal who I am sure will provide a stern test for a United side that are leaking goals alarmingly of late.


City travel to Upton Park and this should be a tough test for Roberto Mancini's men. They are still unbeaten but have looked far from convincing all season, and we hope the Hammers can nick a point here.



BetVictor: We're happy to lay Sunderland 11/10 who can't score against a Villa side who look better on the road than they do at Villa Park.


Newcastle have a dreadful record at Anfield and have only scored a single goal (and that was an og) in their last six games so we're happy to lay them but can they get any bigger than 11/2 against an ordinary Liverpool side?


BOGEY TEAMS



Man United (4/6) have won seven and lost none of last eight v Arsenal (9/2) at Old Trafford.


Liverpool (8/13) have won 15 and lost none of the last 17 league games at Anfield v Newcastle (11/2).


Everton (17/10) have won seven and lost just one of the last nine v Fulham (7/4).


Stoke (7/4) have won three and lost none of the last four league games v Norwich (8/5).


Sunderland (11/10) have won just one of last six home Premier League games v Aston Villa (3/1).


Man City (8/11) have won seven and lost just one of the last 10 league meetings v West Ham (4/1).


West Brom (3/4) have won none of last seven league meetings with Southampton (4/1).


BANKER



WBA to beat Southampton at 3/4 (Mon).



I had my fingers burnt with West Brom a few weeks ago after backing them to beat the champions Manchester City, but they should get me back on track against Southampton. The City defeat is the only blot on their impressive home record and they should have too much class for the Saints, who have lost all four of their away games, conceding 16 goals. They have also been woeful against top-half opposition - picking up just one point from seven games.


HOT-SHOTS



Swansea's Michu has two in his last three Prem games and is 3/1 to score v Chelsea.


Peterborough's Saido Berahino scored twice last time out and is 7/2 to score at Sheff Weds.


TREATMENT ROOM



Blackpool to win at Derby at 7/4.



Blackpool are set to welcome back veteran striker Kevin Phillips. The striker has been sidelined with a calf complaint in recent weeks and Seasiders boss Ian Holloway bemoaned the absence of the 39-year-old's predatory instincts as his side spurned a succession of chances to take three points during last weekend's 1-1 draw with Brighton at Bloomfield Road.


FAMOUS LAST WORDS



Bury to beat Exeter at 11/10.



Speaking after last weekend's draw with Walsall, boss kevin Blackwell said: "We missed an opportunity there. We should have won, we were the better team, but we didn't finish it off. We had about 12 shots and their keeper's made some great saves, I have to hold my hands up there. But what a difference it is now. We look as though we want to win and we can win."



Rochdale to win at Morecambe at 2/1.



Speaking after last weekend's draw with 10-man Fleetwood, assistant manager Jimmy Bell said: "It's two points dropped and we've told the players that. Collectively and individually we have to acknowledge the importance of winning such games, and that's another two points we've dropped. We should have won the match, but the quality wasn't quite there in the end."



You can follow me on Twitter at @MattPBriggs


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