Power Rankings: Alternative PL table after week 37

Date published: Monday 9th May 2016 11:20

Leicester: The shock story of this, or any season

Leicester: The shock story of this, or any season

Swansea City were comfortably the biggest Power Rankings winners over the weekend as Leicester City boosted their hopes of the other title.

In Power Rankings, we award points from 0.5 to 10, decided by an algorithm based on bookmaker odds and winning margins.

It rewards teams scoring lots of goals and also those defying expectations but sees odds-on favourites penalised for sneaking past inferior opponents by the odd goal.

West Ham continue to lead the way, helped in no small part by their early-season wins at Arsenal and Manchester City, which earned them 20 points alone. Chelsea on the other hand remain second from bottom as they continue to pay the price for their under-achievement, while the rest of last season’s top four battle it out in the top half having also failed to hit their targets.

Week 37

Swansea City – 10: Biggest winners for the second week in a row, Swansea are in with a shout of a top-half finish in both tables after defying the bookmakers’ expectations to win 4-1 at West Ham, who themselves have massively benefited from a few 10-point hauls in the Power Rankings this season.

Leicester City – 4: It’s on! West Ham have led the Power Rankings from the very first weekend of the season when they won at Arsenal, but a win for Leicester at Chelsea would almost certainly secure them the title after they comfortably beat Everton on Saturday. The Premier League may be in the bag, but the big one is still up for grabs….

Southampton – 4: Having won more Premier League points in 2016 than any team apart from Leicester, Southampton go into the final weekend of the season in a strong position to secure a European spot, at least ahead of the midweek games. They were surprisingly short odds to win at Tottenham on Sunday at only 29/10, but another four points have made a top-five finish a realistic aim.

Crystal Palace – 3: It’s been a disappointing 2016 for Palace, but a come-from-behind win over Stoke City on Saturday at least moved them past 40 points for the season. And the Eagles still have an FA Cup final against Manchester United to come…

Liverpool – 3: Jurgen Klopp made eight changes to his side following the win over Villarreal, but Liverpool avoided the fate they had suffered a week previously against Swansea as they eased to a 2-0 win over Watford at Anfield.

Sunderland – 3: Only marginal outsiders to beat Chelsea, Sunderland earn a somewhat stingy three points in the Power Rankings after coming from behind to beat the Blues and move out of the Premier League relegation zone. Only one more win is needed to make sure of their place in next season’s top flight.

Aston Villa – 2.5: Well, at least they didn’t lose their final home game in the Premier League. Is that even a slight crumb of comfort for Aston Villa? Almost certainly not. The Power Rankings table sums up just how bad they have been this season – they’re 18 points adrift of Norwich in 19th despite picking up 2.5 points for holding Newcastle United.

Manchester United – 2: A 1-0 win at Norwich City combined with Manchester City’s draw against Arsenal on Sunday means United have Champions League qualification in their own hands, but their performance at Carrow Road still leaves supporters hoping for a change of manager irrespective this summer.

West Brom – 2: After Stoke, West Brom are probably in the most generous position in the Power Rankings. They claimed two points for a decent draw at Bournemouth but are eight games without a win and battling not to finish fifth from bottom in the Premier League.

Arsenal – 1: Remarkably, Arsenal could yet finish second in the Premier League this season after twice coming from behind to draw at Manchester City. Make no mistake about it, though, this has been another disappointing season for the Gunners. It promised a lot – again – but the same old questions are being asked heading into the summer.

Manchester City – 1: Pep Guardiola will not have expected it when he agreed to take over, but City’s draw against Arsenal means they will be in the Europa League next season if Manchester United win their remaining two games. They have chalked up a few big wins this season, explaining why they are fourth in the Power Rankings, but they simply haven’t been consistent enough.

Bournemouth – 0.5: Seventeenth place in the Power Rankings doesn’t quite do Bournemouth justice. They haven’t pulled up many trees, but it’s still been a fantastic survival to have stayed up – fairly comfortably – despite some terrible luck with injuries.

Newcastle United – 0.5: In ordinary circumstances, a 0-0 draw at Aston Villa wouldn’t be a bad result. But these are no ordinary circumstances. Villa have been relegated for weeks and have been awful all season, while Newcastle have been playing well recently and will have been confident of winning to keep their survival hopes alive. They’re now hanging by a thread…

 

Power Rankings

Team Power Rankings Points Official Points
1. West Ham 103 59
2. Leicester City 101 80
3. Tottenham 82.5 70
4. Man City 78 65
5. Stoke City 76 48
6. West Brom 75 42
7. Southampton 73 60
8. Liverpool 69.5 58
9. Man Utd 66.5 63
10. Arsenal 66 68
= Swansea City 66 46
12. Crystal Palace 63.5 42
13. Sunderland 62.5 35
14. Newcastle 62 36
15. Everton 60.5 44
= Watford 60.5 44
17. Bournemouth 54.5 42
18. Chelsea 52.5 48
19. Norwich City 47.5 31
20. Aston Villa 29.5 17

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