Power Rankings: League elite continue to struggle

Date published: Monday 21st December 2015 12:14

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Norwich City and Watford were the weekend’s big Power Rankings winners, with the Premier League’s traditional elite continuing to struggle.

In Power Rankings, we award points from 0.5 to 10, decided by an algorithm based on bookmaker odds and winning margins.

It helps, particularly in the first half of the season before every team has played all the others, to highlight the real value of the points won and lost.

West Ham, for example, have 25 points in the actual Premier League table but have a massive 54.5 in the Power Rankings having won at Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City this season.

For the Irons, this alternative table highlights the true value of the points they’ve won – points that relatively few other teams will get – but also leaves them wondering ‘what if’, with bonus points on the road tempered by home defeats to Leicester City and Bournemouth.

Week 17

Norwich City – 9: Considering Manchester United’s recent form, perhaps the bookies made a mistake in making Norwich such outsiders to win at Old Trafford. Plenty may well have backed this result, which earned the Canaries nine points in the Power Rankings.

Watford – 7: Another fine performance from Watford saw them demolish Liverpool 3-0 on Sunday to move to within a point of a top-four place in both the Premier League and the Power Rankings.

Bournemouth – 4: They were helped by the first-half sending-off of James McClean, but Bournemouth won’t care – this was a huge win in their fight for Premier League survival.

Crystal Palace – 4: Alan Pardew said a draw would have been a fair result, but he won’t have been complaining about the win the Eagles picked up at Stoke City as they continued their impressive away form.

Leicester City – 4: West Ham’s wins at Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City earned them a big buffer in the Power Rankings, but Leicester continue to chip away at it. More and more people are starting to take the Foxes seriously – including the bookies, meaning their 3-2 win at Everton was worth only four points.

Tottenham – 4: Another team picking up a bonus point for an away win over the weekend was Tottenham, who moved into the top four of the Premier League but are still in the bottom half of the Power Rankings. Too many draws have cost Mauricio Pochettino’s side so far this season.

Chelsea – 3: In their first game following the sacking of Jose Mourinho, Chelsea’s players produced a much-improved performance to see off an admittedly-poor Sunderland side. The Blues are now off the bottom of the Power Rankings and likely to continue climbing under Guus Hiddink.

Aston Villa – 2: A credible draw at Newcastle earned Villa two points in the Power Rankings, but it’s wins that Remi Garde’s side need if they are to stand any chance of avoiding relegation this season.

West Ham – 1.5: A fifth draw in six Premier League games for West Ham sees their lead in the Power Rankings cut once again, but it was a decent result at Swansea for Slaven Bilic’s side, still without several injured players.

Newcastle United – 1: Seventeenth in the Premier League but fifth in the Power Rankings, Newcastle – and Stoke City – are proving to be masters of picking up points against supposedly better sides yet failing to capitalise in games against teams around them. A home draw against Aston Villa was nothing to shout about.

Swansea City – 1: They remain in the relegation zone, but there were some signs of improvement in Swansea’s play in their draw against West Ham on Sunday. Turning possession into clear-cut opportunities is their next challenge.

Power Rankings

Team Power Rankings Points Official Points
1. West Ham 54.5 22
2. Leicester City 46.5 35
3. Crystal Palace 46 29
4. Stoke City 39.5 23
5. Newcastle United 39 17
6. Watford 39 26
7. Manchester City 36.5 32
8. West Brom 35 20
9. Everton 34 23
10. Arsenal 33.5 33
11. Tottenham 33.5 26
12. Manchester United 31 29
13. Liverpool 28.5 24
14. Norwich City 28.5 16
15. Bournemouth 27.5 18
16. Southampton 25 21
17. Sunderland 21 12
18. Swansea City 19 14
19. Chelsea 16 18
20. Aston Villa 15 7

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