Power Rankings: Man Utd and Spurs slip into bottom half

Date published: Sunday 13th December 2015 7:04

Newcastle: Move up the Power Rankings table

Newcastle United were the big Power Rankings winners of the weekend, with Manchester United and Tottenham joining Liverpool and Chelsea in the bottom half.

In Power Rankings, we award points from 0.5 to 10, decided by an algorithm based on bookmaker odds and winning margins.

It helps, particularly in the early stages of the season, before every team has played all the others, to highlight the real value of the points won and lost.

West Ham, for example, have 23 points in the actual Premier League table but have a massive 52 in the Power Rankings having followed up their wins at Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City with a draw at Old Trafford.

For the Irons, this alternative table highlights the true value of the points they’ve won – points that relatively few other teams will get – but also leaves them wondering ‘what if’, with bonus points on the road tempered by home defeats to Leicester City and Bournemouth.

Week 16

Newcastle United – 10: After West Ham, Newcastle are the team with the biggest positive difference between their Premier League and Power Rankings points tallies. The Magpies claimed the maximum 10 for coming from behind to win at Tottenham, building on the success against Liverpool last weekend. Incredibly, they are now fifth in the Power Rankings, highlighting their knack of picking up points against the biggest opponents. They now need to find consistency.

West Brom – 4.5: Had it not been for Divock Origi’s stoppage-time equaliser, West Brom would have also claimed 10 points. They are still the second biggest winners of the weekend, however, after going into their trip to Liverpool as rank 17/2 outsiders.

Bournemouth – 4: After claiming 10 points for a win at Chelsea last weekend, Bournemouth pick up only four for beating Manchester United at Dean Court. The bookmakers obviously saw this coming, with Eddie Howe’s side only 12/5 to claim the victory, perhaps because of United’s injuries. They won’t care on the south coast; the party continues.

Leicester City – 4: Beating Chelsea is not quite the scalp it used to be, hence this win only being worth four points, but the Premier League leaders continue to close in on West Ham at the top of the Power Rankings.

Arsenal – 3: A 2-0 win at Aston Villa moved Arsenal to the top of the Premier League, but they remain outside even the top four in the Power Rankings. Next week’s game against Manchester City provides an opportunity to rack up some points.

Crystal Palace – 3: Their home record is patchy, but a fourth clean sheet in 24 Premier League games at Selhurst Park allowed Palace to close the gap on West Ham at the top of the Power Rankings. Alan Pardew’s side are exceeding expectations.

Watford – 3: A third straight win moved to Watford within three points of fourth place in the Premier League, but the Hornets boast a fairly modest Power Rankings tally. They claimed only three points for beating Sunderland having gone into the game at the Stadium of Light as narrow favourites. Clearly, the bookmakers are not under-estimating Quique Flores’ side.

Manchester City – 2: Bafetimbi Gomis’ late equaliser looked to have earned Swansea City some respite, but Kelechi Iheanacho’s even later winner earned Manchester City a scarcely-deserved three points. They only get two in the Power Rankings, however, having gone into the game as huge 2/7 favourites.

Stoke City – 1.5: They failed to reproduce the form shown against Manchester City a week previously, but a seventh clean sheet in nine Premier League games helped Stoke to a credible draw at West Ham to keep them in the top four of the Power Rankings.

Everton – 1: Romelu Lukaku scored for a sixth straight game to put Everton ahead at Norwich, but Wes Hoolahan’s second-half equaliser made it three straight draws for Roberto Martinez’s side.

Norwich City – 1: Norwich also claim a point in the Power Rankings following the draw at Carrow Road, but Alex Neil’s side are 17th in both tables.

West Ham – 1: They are still well clear at the top of the Power Rankings, but the gap was closed again over the weekend as West Ham suffered a sixth game without a win.

Liverpool – 0.5: Jurgen Klopp was clearly delighted with the way his side kept going until the end against West Brom on Sunday, but the 2-2 draw was definitely a case of two points dropped rather than one gained.

Power Rankings

Team Power Rankings Points Official Points
1. West Ham 53 24
2. Leicester City 42.5 32
3. Crystal Palace 42 26
4. Stoke City 39.5 23
5. Newcastle United 38 16
6. Manchester City 36.5 32
7. West Brom 35 20
8. Everton 34 23
9. Arsenal 33.5 33
10. Watford 32 25
11. Manchester United 31 29
12. Tottenham 29.5 23
13. Liverpool 28.5 24
14. Southampton 25 21
15. Bournemouth 23.5 15
16. Sunderland 21 12
17. Norwich City 19.5 13
18. Swansea City 18 13
19. Aston Villa 13 6
20. Chelsea 13 15

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