Sergio Aguero and Olivier Giroud are among Dave Tindall’s best bets this weekend, with the Man City marksman part of our 41/1 anytime scorers acca this weekend.
Premier League Top Scorers
15 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 in all comps: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0
15 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-2-0 = 3
13 Odion Ighalo (Watford) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-1-0 = 3
13 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-2 = 3
12 Olivier Giroud (Arsenal) Last 6 games: 0-2-1-0-0-0 = 3
12 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-0-0 = 2
10 Sergio Aguero (Man City) Last 6 games: 2-0-1-0-1-0 = 4
Analysis: Are Leicester and Watford suffering a dip now because Vardy, Mahrez and Igaholo have lost form? Or are the three marksmen just not getting as many chances due to their teams struggling?
It’s all a bit chicken and egg but the premise of this column is to follow hot strikers and that trio have cooled down considerably.
By contrast, Sergo Aguero looks back up to speed again after coming back from injury and fired a double last time out. He also has two goals in his last three away games so we’ll play him to bag another away to West Ham this weekend.
Olivier Giroud has three goals in his last three Arsenal outings and 13/8 looks more than fair for him to net another at home to Chelsea.
The Blues are still shipping plenty of goals (conceded five in their last two) so the Frenchman can add to his tally.
Sergio Aguero to score anytime v West Ham at 19/20 (William Hill)
Olivier Giroud to score anytime v Chelsea at 13/8 (William Hill)
Championship Top Scorers
16 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-3-0-1 = 5
15 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-0-1-0 = 3
14 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 3-1-1-0-1-0 = 6
11 Nick Blackman (Derby) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-0 = 1
11 Fernando Forestieri (Sheff W) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-0-2-2 = 5
11 Alan Judge (Brentford) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-0-0 = 1
Analysis: It’s all aboard the Abel Hernandez train again this week.
He did us a favour last Satuday when scoring at Charlton and went on to get a hat-trick in that match.
Next up, a trip to Fulham, who have conceded the second highest number of home goals (22) in the division.
The 17/10 seems more than fair for Hernandez to register once more.
The 27/10 for Ross McCormack in the same match looks even better though.
While Fulham slip worryingly towards the relegation slots, McCormack does what he does best and keeps banging them in. Middlesbrough are now sniffing.
He’s got 17 (15 in Championship) in all comps and you have to go back to August to find the last time he went more than two matches without scoring.
The Scottish striker has netted in his last two games and is a value bet to make it three-in-a-row on Saturday.
Abel Hernandez to score anytime v Fulham at 17/10 (Unibet)
Ross McCormack to score anytime v Hull at 27/10 (Bet Victor)
League One Top Scorers
16 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 0-0-3-0-0-0 = 3
13 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 2-2-0-0-1-0 = 5
13 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-1-1-1 = 5
12 Leon Clarke (Bury) Last 6 games: 0-2-0-1-0-1 = 4
Analysis: As in the Championship, our focus is on one ground this week; this time, Bramall Lane.
For the hosts, Billy Sharp has scored in Sheffield United’s last six home games. Some might say his run is due to end but this column will back players until that day arrives. If we’d applied similar logic to Jamie Vardy, we would have missed out on making a profit probably six or seven games in a row as the doubters said his streak wouldn’t last.
Sharp has a cutting edge right now; keep following him and take the 13/10 at home to Swindon on Saturday.
For the visitors, Nicky Ajose has netted four goals in his last two games and is certainly value at 5/2 to bag another against the Blades.
Sheffield United score lots at home but concede lots too (21 is more than anyone in the top half of the table and one more than fourth-bottom Shrewsbury).
Billy Sharp to score anytime v Swindon at 13/10 (Ladbrokes, Betfair)
Nicky Ajose to score anytime v Sheffield United at 5/2 (Boylesports)
League Two Top Scorers
20 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 0-2-1-1-0-0 = 4
14 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-0-0 = 1
13 Marc Richards (Northampton) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-1-1 = 3
12 Jabo Ibehre (Carlisle) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-2-0-0 = 2
12 Barry Corr (Cambridge) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-1-0 = 2
Analysis: With Giroud still to come on Sunday, last week’s 29/1 acca was looking good. Hernandez and Sharp had scored early and then Leyton Orient were awarded a late penalty.
Up stepped Simpson…. and missed. Arggh. But there was a reprieve. Soon after, the referee pointed to the spot again. Simpson had another go and couldn’t convert that one either! Plenty of cursing from acca backers although, as it happened, Giroud couldn’t score the following day.
Will Simpson still be on penalty duties this week? We’ll see but let’s not forget he’s still the top goalscorer in the country and before fluffing his lines from the spot he’d scored four in three games.
Simpson is particularly strong on the road (three in his last two away games and eight in his last nine) so let’s keep the faith and back him at a very decent 17/10 to score against wobbling Wycombe.
Jay Simpson to score anytime v Wycombe at 17/10 (Ladbrokes)
Best-priced goalscorer treble:
Aguero, Hernandez, Ajose & Simpson at 41/1 (bet365)