Striker! Aguero and Mahrez to net in crunch showdowns

Date published: Friday 12th February 2016 7:59

Riyad Mahrez: Taking transfer talk in his stride

Riyad Mahrez: Taking transfer talk in his stride

Sergio Aguero and Riyad Mahrez are both in Dave Tindall’s anytime scorer staking plan this weekend.

This column has already brought you one 50/1 winner this season and has had successful tips among its selection every week since launch.

Premier League Top Scorers

18 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 in all comps: 0-2-1-0-0-0 = 3

16 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-0-0 = 1

15 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 0-2-0-1-0-1 = 4

14 Sergio Aguero (Man City) Last 6 games: 1-1-1-2-2-0 = 7

14 Odion Ighalo (Watford) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-1-0-0 = 2

14 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-0-0 = 1

Analysis: We get the perfect combination for some big prices on Leicester’s dynamic duo Jamie Vardy and Riyad Mahrez this week – an away game against a big team.

Vardy is 2/1 to net at Arsenal which is decent but the standout price is the 7/2 about Mahrez.

The Algerian scored at Manchester City last week and that means 11 of his 16 goals in all comps this season have come on the road.

He’s scored in over 50% of Leicester’s away games so getting 7/2 is a gift really. Don’t pass it up.

Romelu Lukaku is odds-on across the board which looks a bit short given that he only has a single goal in his last six starts even though it came last time out against Stoke.

So, instead, I’ll turn to Sergio Aguero given that some even money is on offer.

True, Man City are up against Spurs but you’d back the Argentine striker to score against anyone at the moment.

Aguero has netted in five games on the trot and in seven of his last nine so, on those numbers, he should be priced at short odds-on.

Best bets:

Riyad Mahrez to score anytime v Arsenal at 7/2 (bet365)
Sergio Aguero to score anytime v Spurs at Evens (William Hill)

Championship Top Scorers

18 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-0-1 = 3

15 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-0-1 = 3

15 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 0-1-3-1-1-0 = 6

12 Alan Judge (Brentford) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-1-0-0 = 2

11 Nahki Wells (Huddersfield) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-0-0-1 = 3

Analysis: Only two teams in the top 16 have conceded more home goals than Queens Park Rangers so Fulham’s Ross McCormack must be fancying himself for another goal in Saturday’s London derby.

The Scot didn’t net last time out at home to Derby but he did in the two games before that and both were on the road.

To highlight what a regular scorer he is, McCormack hasn’t gone more than two games without a goal since August so he’s about as reliable as they come even though his team are the complete opposite.

The 12/5 simply doesn’t reflect how prolific he is so snap it up and put him in the acca.

Huddersfield’s Nahki Wells has popped up on the top-scorer charts in the Championship and looks a tasty bet at 12/5 to net at Nottingham Forest.

Wells has scored in his last two away games – away to Preston and home to Cardiff – and, overall, he’s found the onion bag in six of his last 10 games.

It’s very latest form that this column is based on but it’s good to see that Wells has become a regular scorer with the Terriers.

Forest aren’t letting in many at home but we’re compensated by the price.

Best bets:

Ross McCormack to score anytime v QPR at 12/5 (bet365)
Nahki Wells to score anytime v Nottingham Forest at 12/5 (Unibet)

League One Top Scorers

17 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-0-3-0 = 4

16 Sam Winnall (Barnsley) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-0-3-2 = 7

14 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-1-1-0 = 3

13 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-2-2-0 = 4

13 Leon Clarke (Bury) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-2-0 = 3

13 Paddy Madden (Scunthorpe United) Last 6 games: 0-2-0-0-0-0 = 2

Analysis: Sam Winnall landed this column a 31/20 payout with a goal against Bury last time and the Barnsley striker is again the man to invest in this week.

Winnall took his tally to 17 with that second-half strike and it means he now has 10 goals in his last nine outings.

Next up for Winnall and the Tykes is a trip to Gillingham and that won’t be easy given that no team has won more home games in League One this season.

However, the Gills have managed just a single win in their last five games so have hit a sticky patch and Winnall has already netted against them this season, scoring the second in a 2-0 win at Oakwell.

With seven wins and two draws in their last nine games, Barnsley are one of the country’s most in-form teams so take Winnall at 7/4 to add another goal to his fast-growing collection.

Best bet:

Sam Winnall to score anytime v Gillingham at 7/4 (Bet Victor)

League Two Top Scorers

22 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-1-0-2 = 4

14 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-0-0 = 1

14 Marc Richards (Northampton) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-1-0 = 2

12 Jabo Ibehre (Carlisle) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0

12 Barry Corr (Cambridge) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-1-1 = 2

Analysis: There’s rather slim pickings in League Two this weekend with even the prolific Jay Simpson drawing blanks in his last two outings for Leyton Orient.

The O’s host leaders Northampton on Saturday but it’s a player on the visiting side who interests us.

Marc Richards is the joint second top scorer in League Two after bagging his 14th of the season in the 2-0 home win over York. That, incidentally, was Northampton’s 13th win in their last 16 games.

Eight of his 17 goals in all comps have come away from home and Orient have been leaking at home recently, conceding eight in the last four matches at the Matchroom Stadium.

Richards is a shade under 2/1 to bang in another and that’s easily enough to get us involved.

Best bet: 

Marc Richards to score anytime v Leyton Orient at 15/8 (bet365)

Best-priced goalscorer accumulator:

Aguero, McCormack, Winnall & Richards at 43.89/1 (bet365)

Dave Tindall

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