Striker! Get with Giroud; Owls ace wise bet v Leeds

Date published: Friday 15th January 2016 2:06

Olivier Giroud: Good value to find the net at Stoke

Olivier Giroud: Good value to find the net at Stoke

Arsenal’s Olivier Giroud and Sheffield Wednesday’s Fernando Forestieri are among Dave Tindall’s best scorer bets this weekend.

Premier League Top Scorers

15 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 in all comps: 0-0-0-0-0-1 = 1

15 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-2-0-1 = 4

13 Odion Ighalo (Watford) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-2 = 3

13 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-2-1 = 3

12 Olivier Giroud (Arsenal) Last 6 games: 2-1-0-0-0-1 = 4

11 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-0-2-1 = 4

Analysis: The goals have dried up for Leicester’s dynamic duo Jamie Vardy and Odion Ighalo while the temperature rating on Odion Ighalo, Romelu Lukaku and Harry Kane has cooled.

But, after his midweek double at Anfield and FA Cup strike against Sunderland last weekend, we do have a standout candidate in Olivier Giroud.

The Frenchman now has 18 for the season in all competitions and his second goal for Arsenal at Liverpool showed a player at the top of his game and full of confidence.

Stoke won’t make it easy for him but Arsenal are the second highest scorers on the road (21 in 11 games) so Giroud is worth a bet at 3/2 to add another to his tally.

The Premier League’s hottest striker right now is Jermain Defoe. He’s plundered five goals in Sunderland’s last two games, including a hat-trick away to Swansea in midweek.

Next up…. a trip to his former club Spurs. He might find the going tough but we’re being dangled a price of 18/5 so back Defoe to net his 10th Premier League goal of the campaign.

Best bet:

Olivier Giroud to score anytime v Stoke at 3/2 (Stan James)
Jermain Defoe to score anytime v Spurs at 18/5 (Boylesports)

 

Championship Top Scorers

16 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 1-0-3-0-1-0 = 5

14 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-1-0-1 = 3

11 Nick Blackman (Derby) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-0-0 = 1

11 Fernando Forestieri (Sheff W) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-2-2-0 = 5

11 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-1-0-1 = 4

Analysis: We’re spoilt for choice in the Championship with four of the division’s top scorers netting last time out.

Abel Hernandez has to be the man for the acca. He’s found the net in three of his last four matches and Hull host second-bottom Charlton at the weekend. The visitors have shipped 26 goals on the road and are coming off a 5-0 walloping at Huddersfield.

Hernandez looks more than fairly priced at 13/10 given that he’s found the onion bag in each of his last three home games.

Andre Gray did score at MK Dons on Tuesday but just two of his 14 goals for Burnley have come away from home so he’s not reliable on the road.

The second bet I like is Fernando Forestieri to bang one in against Leeds.

The Italian has scored five goals in Sheffield Wednesday’s last three home games so is well worth a bet at over 2/1 to net again when their Yorkshire rivals pitch up at Hillsborough.

The visitors have only kept three clean sheets on the road this season.

Finally, there looks to be a perfect storm at the John Smith’s Stadium with one of the division’s most in-form strikers up against one of the Championship’s leakiest defences.

Nahki Wells has five in five (four in three at home) since Christmas Day and can celebrate another against Fulham at 7/4.

Best bets:

Abel Hernandez to score anytime v Charlton at 13/10 (bet365)
Fernando Forestieri to score anytime v Leeds at 21/10 (Unibet)
Nahki Wells to score anytime v Fulham at 7/4 (Betfair)

 

League One Top Scorers

16 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 0-3-0-0-0-0 = 3

12 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-1-1-1 = 5

11 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 2-0-0-1-0-2 = 5

11 Bradley Dack (Gillingham) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-1-0 = 3

11 Paddy Madden (Scunthorpe) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-0 = 1

Analysis: Despite it being a hat-trick, top-scoring Adam Armstrong has only netted in one of his last six games so is becoming unreliable as an anytime scorer option.

By contrast, aside from the staggeringly dull 1-0 loss against Manchester United in the FA Cup, Billy Sharp can’t stop finding the net.

He’s registered in his last five games in League One and must have a golden chance of extending that sequence to six when Sheffield United travel to Colchester.

Sharp scored against the second-bottom U’s at Bramall Lane earlier this season and only three teams have conceded more home goals than Colchester’s 22 in the current campaign.

On first glance, Nicky Ajose appears a decent bet at home to Crewe but, despite propping up the table, the visitors have conceded less on their travels than second-placed Gillingham so won’t be cannon-fodder.

Best bet:

Billy Sharp to score v Colchester at 8/5 (Coral, Betfair)

 

League Two Top Scorers

20 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 2-1-1-0-0-1 = 5

13 Marc Richards (Northampton) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-1-0-1 = 4

13 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-1 = 1

12 Jabo Ibehre (Carlisle) Last 6 games: 2-0-0-1-1-0 = 4

12 Barry Corr (Cambridge) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-1-0-0 = 2

Analysis: As he is most weeks, Jay Simpson is the obvious pick and will continue to be so if the bookies keep putting him in at prices like 11/8.

He would have landed an anytime scorer punt seven times in his last nine matches and should make that eight in 10 at home to Exeter this weekend.

The visitors are likely have one eye on their midweek FA Cup replay at Anfield and, even if their heads aren’t turned by the Liverpool trip, they let in their fare share on the road anyway.

Marc Richards is the other bet having scored in three of his last four outings.

Second-placed Northampton travel to third-bottom Dagenham & Redbridge so he looks ripe for another goal – especially when you consider that Richards has scored in eight of his last 11 away games.

On those numbers, any odds-against price is fair and we can get 7/5.

Best bet: 

Jay Simpson to score anytime v Exeter at 11/8 (Ladbrokes)
Marc Richards to score anytime v Dag & Red at 7/5 (Ladbrokes, Betfair)

Best-priced goalscorer treble:

Giroud, Hernandez, Sharp & Simpson at 29/1 (Betbright)

Dave Tindall

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