In-form strike duo Harry Kane and Andre Gray form part of Dave Tindall’s 40/1 anytime scorer acca this weekend.
This column has already brought you one 50/1 winner this season and has had successful tips among its selection every week since launch.
Premier League Top Scorers
18 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 in all comps: 2-1-0-0-0-0 = 3
15 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 2-0-1-0-1-0 = 4
15 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-1 = 1
14 Odion Ighalo (Watford) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-0-0 = 2
13 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0
13 Sergio Aguero (Man City) Last 6 games: 1-1-2-2-0-1 = 7
Analysis: There are three very obvious options in the Premier League this weekend with Jamie Vardy, Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero all bang in goalscoring form.
Vardy has three in two after his brace against Liverpool while Aguero has seven in six.
The two strikers go head-to-head at The Etihad on Saturday and, although City are at home, the bias in their respective prices looks too great.
Aguero is as short as 4/7 in places which looks too prohibitive but there’s some 9/4 being dangled about Vardy and that’s where the value lies. Back him in a single.
The safest bet for the acca though has to be Harry Kane.
Spurs host Watford and getting almost even money looks okay for Kane, who netted twice at Norwich last time out. He’s also hit the onion bag four times in his last three home games.
Harry Kane to score anytime v Watford at 19/20 (William Hill)
Jamie Vardy to score anytime v Man City at 9/4 (totesport, Betfair)
Championship Top Scorers
17 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-0-1-0 = 3
15 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-0-1-0 = 3
15 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 1-3-1-1-0-1 = 7
12 Alan Judge (Brentford) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-0-0 = 2
11 Nick Blackman (Derby) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0
11 Fernando Forestieri (Sheff W) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-0-0 = 3
Analysis: Due to being rested or their team not having a game in last weekend’s FA Cup fourth round, a number of the division’s top scorers had the week off.
As in the Premier League, two of the top scorers go head-to-head with Andre Gray’s Burnley hosting Abel Hernandez’s Hull in match that sees third play first.
The two sides have decent defences but the prices on both strikers look very decent with Gray 2/1 and Hernandez 9/4. Those are too big to ignore so both go into the staking plan.
Gray’s particularly impressive strike-rate at home (13 of his 16 goals have come at Turf Moor) makes him the one for the acca.
Ross McCormack at 11/5 to score at home to Derby has to be a play too.
The Rams have let in nine goals in their last four away games and McCormack and Fulham are prolific at home.
Andre Gray to score anytime v Hull at 2/1 (bet365, Bet Victor)
Abel Hernandez to score anytime v Burnley at 9/4 (Bet Victor)
Ross McCormack to score anytime v Derby at 11/5 (bet365)
League One Top Scorers
17 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-3-0-0 = 4
15 Sam Winnall (Barnsley) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-3-2-0 = 6
14 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-1-0-1 = 4
13 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 0-0-2-2-0-0 = 4
13 Leon Clarke (Bury) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-2-0-0 = 3
13 Paddy Madden (Scunthorpe United) Last 6 games: 0-2-0-0-0-0 = 2
Analysis: Adam Armstrong remains something of an enigma for goalscorer backers.
He netted at home to Scunthorpe last time out and bagged a hat-trick in his last away game.
However, those are the only two games in which he’s found the net in his last eight matches. There are a lot of blanks in there, especially away from home.
In fact, he’s scored in just two away games all season so I’m happy to pass him by for the trip to Port Vale as the hosts have one of the best home defensive records in League One.
After three away games, Barnsley play in front of their home fans again this Sunday and that should alert us to Sam Winnall.
The striker left the pitch with the match ball after bagging a hat-trick in his last game at Oakwell and has six in his last three home matches.
The Tykes host a Bury side which is wobbling after just one win in nine so back Winnall at 7/5 to wheel away in celebration once more.
Sam Winnall to score anytime v Bury at 31/20 (Bet Victor)
League Two Top Scorers
22 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-2-1 = 5
14 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-0-0 = 1
13 Marc Richards (Northampton) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-1 = 3
12 Jabo Ibehre (Carlisle) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-2 = 2
12 Barry Corr (Cambridge) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-1-1 = 2
Analysis: Surely, I can’t put Jay Simpson up again, can I?
Well, I can and I will! To be honest, there are no obvious alternatives and the good news is that we’re getting Simpson at a big price on Saturday as Leyton Orient are away.
The stats say that exactly 50% (11) of Simpson’s league-leading 22 goals this season have come away from home so, on those numbers, he shouldn’t be a bigger price to score on the road.
That run includes four in his last three away games so getting 2/1 looks extremely generous.
We’re getting that inflated price because Leyton Orient are at Portsmouth, who have the best defensive record in League Two.
It’s a concern but if anyone can, Jay can, and looking at recent Fratton Park games shows that Pompey have let in five in their last three.
Jay Simpson to score anytime v Portsmouth at 2/1 (bet365)
Best-priced goalscorer accumulator:
Kane, Gray, Winnall & Simpson at 40.26/1 (bet365)