Striker! Vardy can put Leicester on the brink

Date published: Friday 15th April 2016 12:52

Jamie Vardy Leicester

Leicester striker Jamie Vardy is in Dave Tindall’s anytime scorer staking plan this weekend.

This column has already brought you one 50/1 winner this season and has had successful tips among its selection every single week since launch.

Premier League Top Scorers

22 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-2-2 = 6

21 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 games: 2-0-0-0-0-0 = 2

18 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-2-1 = 3

18 Sergio Aguero (Man City) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-0-0 = 2

16 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-1-0 = 2

Analysis: Jamie Vardy is the only one of the Premier League’s leading marksmen to have netted in his last game – a double at Sunderland.

Those goals ended a lean spell but let’s not forget that he was on target in both England’s recent friendlies so the Leicester striker is full of confidence having hit four in his last four games for club and country.

He faces a West Ham side which must be hugely disappointed after crashing out of the FA Cup quarter-finals at home to Manchester United in midweek.

The Hammers are wobbling at the moment, especially at the back, so Vardy should get chances to add to his 21-goal tally in the Premier League.

West Ham have let in 12 goals in their last five games and are winless in five matches so take Vardy at 5/4 to give the raucous King Power Stadium crowd another reason to go mad.

Is Riyad Mahrez, the 1/3 favourite to be named PFA Players’ Player of the Year, worth a bet to score too?

Not really, as 12 of his last 13 goals for the Foxes have come on the road.

The goals have dried up for Romelu Lukaku while Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero are relatively short prices for toughish away games at Stoke and Chelsea respectively.

Best bet:

Jamie Vardy to score anytime v West Ham at 5/4 (Stan James)


Championship Top Scorers

23 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-0-1 = 2

21 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-1-1 = 4

17 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-0-0-0 = 1

15 Chris Martin (Derby County) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-0-1-0 = 3

15 Jonathan Kodjia (Bristol City) Last 6 games: 1-0-0-2-0-0 = 2

15 Nakhi Wells (Huddersfield) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-1 = 3

Analysis: Andre Gray has gone a little quiet with just one goal in five games for second-placed Burnley while Nakhi Wells hasn’t netted in three games.

Abel Hernandez did score last time but that was his first goal in 10 games so I wouldn’t be too confident about trusting him just yet.

Ross McCormack is always an option, whoever the opposition, so has to be worth a bet any time he’s on offer at over 2/1.

The Fulham striker, who averages better than a goal every other game this season (making his true price a shade of odds-on), is 13/5 with bet365 to net at Brighton and that has to be worth a play.

The bet I really like for the acca, though, is the 11/10 for Derby’s Chris Martin to score at second-bottom Charlton.

Martin has scored in four of Derby’s last five away games and has six in his last 10 matches overall, including two in his last three.

He has an obvious chance to wheel away in celebration again at the weekend.

Jonathan Kodjia has only netted in six away games and hasn’t scored in any of his last three on the road so is passed by given that the Robins travel to Brentford.

Best bets:

Chris Martin to score anytime v Charlton at 11/10 (General)
Ross McCormack to score anytime v Brighton at 13/5 (bet365)


League One Top Scorers

22 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-0-1-0 = 3

20 Will Grigg (Wigan) Last 6 games: 1-2-0-2-0-1 = 6

19 Sam Winnall (Barnsley) Last 6 games: 2-0-0-0-0-0 = 2

19 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0

18 Paddy Madden (Scunthorpe United) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-1-1 = 3

18 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-0-1 = 3

Analysis: There’s a very obvious candidate in League One this weekend.

Wigan’s Will Grigg has jumped up to second place in the scoring charts with five goals in his last four games and those strikes have helped take the Latics to the top of the table.

Next up for Grigg is an away game at third-bottom Doncaster so it’s a perfect opportunity for the Wigan No.9 to bang in another.

In the last eight games he’s scored in, on four occasions he’s gone on to add further goals in the match (three braces and a hat-trick).

Therefore, the 13/2 for two or more at Paddy Power is also worth a bet.

Swindon’s Nicky Ajose has been out injured while Coventry’s Adam Armstrong is going through a real dry patch.

Barnsley’s Sam Winnall netted twice last time and is an option for their trip to Burton but this week we’ll put all our eggs in one basket and get with the hugely in-form Grigg.

Best bet:

Will Grigg to score anytime v Doncaster at 6/5 (Paddy Power)
Will Grigg to score 2 or more v Doncaster at 13/2 (Paddy Power)

Wigan Athletic's Will Grigg celebrates scoring his side's first goal of the game

League Two Top Scorers

25 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 1-2-1-1-1-1 = 7

23 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0

17 Billy Kee (Accrington Stanley) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-1-0-1 = 3

17 Kemar Roofe (Oxford United) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-3-0 = 3

17 John Akinde (Barnet) Last 6 games: 2-0-1-0-0-1 = 4

17 Lyle Taylor (AFC Wimbledon) Last 6 games: 1-2-0-0-0-0 = 2

Analysis: If Grigg was the obvious pick in League One, there’s an even bigger standout bet in League Two.

Matty Taylor has found the net in each of his last seven starts for Bristol Rovers and since the beginning of Match has smashed in nine goals in 11 matches.

He’s been particularly deadly at home with eight goals in the last five games so, as with Grigg, we’ll get ambitious.

Rovers host 20th-placed Yeovil so let’s take him at both 11/10 to find the net and 6/1 to score 2 or more.

The latter bet would have landed twice in Taylor’s last five home games so the numbers are on our side for a punt at 6/1.

With three in his last two, Lyle Taylor could be a pick for AFC Wimbledon’s home game with Crawley.

However, his last five goals have come away from home and he hasn’t scored in front of his own fans for the last four.

Best bets: 

Matty Taylor to score anytime v Yeovil at 11/10 (Paddy Power)
Matt Taylor to score 2 or more v Yeovil at 6/1 (Paddy Power)

Best-priced goalscorer accumulator:

Vardy, Martin, Grigg & Taylor at 16.69/1 (Paddy Power)

Dave Tindall

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