English Premier League

TT's 2012-13 Predictions: Ian Watson

Wednesday 15th August 2012 9:25

Aguero: Tipped to top the scoring charts by Watson

Aguero: Tipped to top the scoring charts by Watson

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TEAMtalk's Ian Watson gives his predictions for 2012-13, with Manchester United missing out on the title again and Sam Allardyce to be axed.

Premier League top six: Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham.

City haven't yet significantly strengthened in the transfer window but, in truth, they don't need to. The addition of some quality cover at centre-half will reinforce a squad which will build on last season's Premier League success with another title and an improved performance in the Champions League.

United have brought in Shinji Kagawa and remain favourites to sign Robin van Persie but, at the opposite end of the field, some weaknesses remain. Nemaja Vidic is back, but age is catching up with Patrice Evra and Rio Ferdinand, while David De Gea still has maturing to do.

I'm fascinated by what Arsenal are doing this summer, and Arsene Wenger looks to have done the best business of any Premier League manager this season. Santi Cazorla could be a Player of the Season candidate, while Lukas Podolski and Olivier Giroud can score the goals to compensate for the likely departure of van Persie. If the Gunners can keep Alex Song and finally get Jack Wilshere fit, they could push the two Manchester clubs, all the while enjoying FA Cup success at Wembley in May.

Chelsea have spent big but are they really much stronger than last season, when they finished sixth? They still appear to be a striker and a right-back light, though, and Roberto Di Matteo will be attempting to rectify those shortcomings. Tottenham also have a great deal to do between now and the end of the transfer window, while Liverpool will perform better in the Premier League this season, but not well enough to crack the top four.

Premier League bottom three: Southampton, Wigan, Norwich. The Premier League lost two really poor teams in Wolves and Blackburn, leaving us with a tighter and more competitive relegation battle. Championship winners Reading and play-off escapees West Ham appear capable of avoiding a relegation battle. Southampton worry me, as I'm not convinced they have added the necessary quality, but they have time to rectify that. They do, though, have a squad full of hungry players, all keen to prove themselves - a quality which has gone a long way to helping previous Premier League new boys retain their place in the top flight. As you can tell, I'm far from convinced that they will be relegated, and I hope to be proved wrong.

Wigan have made a fool of me over recent seasons, but I'm convinced this is the year that they will finally drop. They haven't yet added a great deal of quality to the squad which escaped relegation last year and they look likely to lose Victor Moses.

Norwich have lost their manager and, in a tighter league, I fear they may lose their Premier League status too.

Leading Prem scorer: Sergio Aguero - Manchester City. Roberto Mancini appears to be working on a system which would see Carlos Tevez and Aguero team up in attack and, if both can stay healthy and happy, last season's top scorer for City will narrowly edge out his apparently-settled compatriot in the race for the Golden Boot.

First Prem manager to be sacked: Sam Allardyce - West Ham. Big Sam does not enjoy the smoothest of relationships with the Hammers' fans and anything less than a solid start could see the owners panic.

Biggest Prem flop: Oscar - Chelsea. I do not expect the Brazilian to be a 'flop', but I do believe he will take longer to settle than any of the other big boys' big-money buys.

FA Cup winners: Arsenal Wenger knows he has to deliver silverware this season and I believe he will, in the form of the FA Cup.

Capital One Cup winners: Everton I fancy David Moyes to finally win the trophy he craves, with Everton's clearer schedule allowing them to focus on the League Cup more than many of the big(ger) boys.

Champions League winners: Real Madrid. Jose Mourinho got the better of Barcelona in domestic competition last year and I believe his sights will be firmly set on the Champions League this season.

Europa League winners: PSG I'm sticking with my approach of tipping up one of the teams likely to fall into the Europa league from the Champions League group stages. PSG have spent big, but it may take time for their new boys to gel, by which time, their Champions League campaign may be over. The Parisians may well, though, seize their second chance of European glory.

Championship top six: Bolton, Cardiff, Middlesbrough, Blackburn, Nottingham Forest, Birmingham . I think it will be beyond Wolves and Blackburn to bounce back at the first attempt, with their off-field problems combined with the competitive nature of the division making even a play-off place an unlikely prospect. Bolton, though, have enjoyed an uneventful summer, and though their pre-season form has not been good, I think Owen Coyle's squad is good enough to make an immediate return to the Premier League.

Leading Championship scorer: Kevin Doyle - Wolves Though Wolves may struggle, I expect Kevin Doyle to be among the goals, especially if Steven Fletcher's departure sees him become the main man at Molinuex.

League One champions: Sheffield United Danny Wilson still needs a new striker but the Blades should build on their third-placed finish last season.

League Two champions: Rotherham. Rotherham have a new manager, new stadium and probably a new division come next summer.

SPL top three: Celtic, Dundee United, Motherwell. Dundee United will win the race for second after Celtic win the title by a record margin.

SPL top-scorer: Gary Hooper - Celtic. The Hoops hitman will, once again, fill his boots in the Bhoys' stroll to the title.

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