Football Index tips: How tracking transfer gossip can win you money

Date published: Friday 23rd October 2020 10:51

Do you pride yourself on knowing the very latest about transfer rumours? Do you read all the football media? And do you currently monetise what you know?

If not, then Football Index, ‘The Football Stockmarket’, might be for you.

Football Index is a real-money betting platform where you can buy and sell shares in footballers.

With multiple methods to win money, we think traders largely fall into three categories:

1) ‘The Scout’

2) ‘The Columnist’

3) ‘The Viewer’

We talked about ‘Scouts’ and ‘Viewers’ in separate articles, but here we’ll be looking at what we have termed ‘Columnists’ – traders who target Football Index’s Media Dividends.

Media Dividends are awarded every day on Football Index.

The platform takes news headlines from 20 trusted media sources, and the players with the most mentions pay out dividends to traders that hold them in their portfolio. You can read more about Media Dividends here.

With this reward structure in mind, we’ll show how being a ‘Columnist’ could have made you money to date, and where it still could do in the coming months…

Let’s start by looking back at three players who delivered excellent dividend returns over the past three months.

Lionel Messi

Even by Messi’s standards, it’s been a bumper media period for him having won £0.78 in dividends per share over the three months.

That Burofax and that interview were the triggers to a frenzy of stories about his future at Barcelona.

And while he ended up staying put, will he again push for a move to Manchester City in January or the summer?

With the potential removal of Barca president Josep Maria Bartomeu still a way off, the Messi saga has some distance left to run yet.

Edinson Cavani

Ah, the pull of Manchester United.

Darren Fletcher recently referred to his old club as ‘the biggest club in the world’, and while that is up there with Messi vs Ronaldo as the most unwinnable football debate of all time, United do have a huge sway on the Football Index market.

Cavani earned himself £0.36 per share media dividends over the past three months, the majority in the run-up to his transfer, and his name attracts so many more news stories now that he is a United player.

With his price being just £0.87 three months ago, if you had bought him at that point then your media dividend yield – the amount of media dividends he earned based on his price – would’ve been a whopping 41%.

The one caveat is Zlatan Ibrahimovic. The giant Swede followed the same path as Cavani to Old Trafford from Paris Saint-Germain late in his career, and he soared on the Index at the time.

But his serious knee injury saw him drop in value and attractiveness, and he ended up leaving for LA Galaxy.

No one hopes Cavani suffers a repeat, but it’s a reminder of how these types of events can affect your portfolio.

Gareth Bale

Bale’s career looked dead a few months ago, but a move to Tottenham fired him right up on the Index.

The 30-year-old was languishing at £1.86 as recently as September 20, but he is now up to £3.12, and from a media dividend perspective he brought in £0.34 per share over the past three months (in reality, that all came in the last month).

Like Cavani, performances on the pitch and his general presence back in England will mean he likely continues to be a contender for media dividend winnings in the coming period.

If they are some of the players who have brought home the bacon over the past three months, what about the next few months?

Here are three tips we think could land you some healthy media dividends, but of course if you’re a ‘Columnist’ you’ll no doubt have your own ideas.

Antoine Griezmann

This is a bit of a punt, but we think this could follow a classic big-name transfer trajectory i.e. player gets marginalised by manager > emits noises to the press about his unhappiness > seeks a move > English clubs the only ones that can afford him.

With the younger trio of Ansu Fati, Francisco Trincao and Pedri seemingly in favour under Ronald Koeman at Barcelona, and with the Euros coming up next summer, can Griezmann afford to spend the campaign warming the bench?

This season notwithstanding, his spell at Barcelona so far has not gone well and so the 29-year-old might decide that enough is enough, especially with the Blaugrana seemingly looking to cut costs at every turn.

Most of the Premier League’s big six could afford his wages for an initial six-month loan surely…

Jack Grealish

Transfer speculation, off-field scrapes, in and out of England’s national team…Grealish seems to have it all when it comes to being a media dividend darling.

Though he signed a long-term contract with Aston Villa over the summer, if he keeps performing as he has been then a move to a European superpower can’t be far off.

And with his displays not convincing Gareth Southgate for whatever reason as of yet, expect there also to be a heap of comment about whether he goes to the Euros next summer.

Dele Alli

A bit like Grealish, Alli often doesn’t seem to have to do much to appear on the back pages.

But with nine of the ten biggest media dividend winners in the past three months coming because of transfer rumours, it’s a potential move away from Tottenham that could see Alli have a surge in media returns.

Judging from Spurs’ Amazon Prime documentary and his paltry pitch time this term, the 24-year-old doesn’t seem to have gained the confidence of Jose Mourinho, at times not even making the bench for critical Premier League fixtures.

There won’t be a lack of suitors if Alli does decide his future lies away from North London.

It’s important to state that – as well as thinking about media dividends – the value of your return on a player is also decided by how their share price moves i.e. the initial purchase price you paid. For example, you might earn a good amount of media dividends on a player, but if their capital value has depreciated from what you paid, then your overall profit on that player could be eroded.

Overall what the above tries to show is that if you follow a particular strategy – that is informed by research and knowledge – then it is likely that more of your choices will pay off.

If you fancy swotting up some more, here’s our explainer guide on the basics.

Good luck on your Football Index journey!

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