Top six and bottom three predicted from Prem shooting stats

Date published: Monday 9th January 2017 11:53 - Matthew Briggs

PL Shooting Stats: Liverpool top

Liverpool have attempted more shots inside the penalty area and scored more goals inside the box than any other side in the Premier League.

In a statistical look at Opta shot data in the top flight so far, the Double Pivot website has produced an article which has Liverpool at the summit when it comes to shooting and converting from inside the 18-yard area.

Leaders Chelsea are fifth in the table and it’s no surprise that the top six in the Premier League table are the top six for total attempts in the area and the best six performers when it comes to total attempts conceded in the area.

That’s not startling and noted in the piece: “It of course stands to reason that the more a team shoots from inside the opposition area (closer to goal) and can stop their opponent from doing so in their own penalty box (force them further from goal) – they are likely to do well over a league season and win plenty of points; and the suggestion from the numbers backs that up.”

Liverpool, Arsenal, Man Utd, Man City, Chelsea, Tottenham lead the way in total attempts with Liverpool (41) on top with goals scored from inside the box with Arsenal second with 40.

Surprisingly only 50.42% of Tottenham’s goal attempts have come from inside the area – suggesting they like to chance their arms from long range, not always with much success.

However, they do top the table for percentage of goals from inside the area with a total of 97.44%. Maybe Spurs would be better suited to ending their long-range shooting? Concentrating on getting shots away in the box, where they do the most damage may be more beneficial.

Burnley’s defensive stats look good in the total attempts conceded in the area table. Sean Dyche’s  men, who are 12th in the Premier League table, sit third behind Liverpool and Man Utd with an impressive percentage of 52.25%.

Defensively they look sound and have provided a strong base to mount a convincing bid to stay in the league.

It also looks bad news for Swansea, who have conceded the most goals (42) in the area, while fellow strugglers Sunderland have conceded the most shots (215) in the box. And if a similar reasoning is taken to the attacking data – then we can assume that a team is more likely to struggle if they allow their opponents more shots on goal from inside the penalty box.

If we are looking for the three teams to be relegated then Swansea (42) Hull (39) Watford and Sunderland (both 32) are the four that top the number of goals conceded in the area.

All Opta data was correct as of Friday 6 January 2017.

N.B. In both the tables the top three and bottom teams in each division as well as the top three and bottom three values in each column are highlighted.


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