Striker! Kane and Aguero short but sure to score

Date published: Friday 22nd April 2016 3:56 - Dave Tindall

Harry Kane: Back Tottenham striker to score against West Brom

Tottenham striker Harry Kane is in Dave Tindall’s anytime scorer staking plan this weekend, with Sergio Aguero odds-on to net against Stoke.

This column has already brought you one 50/1 winner this season and has had successful tips among its selection every single week since launch.

Premier League Top Scorers

24 Harry Kane (Tottenham) Last 6 games: 2-0-1-2-2-0 = 7

22 Jamie Vardy (Leicester) Last 6 games: 1-2-0-0-0-0 = 3

22 Sergio Aguero (Man City) Last 6 games: 1-3-0-1-0-1 = 6

18 Romelu Lukaku (Everton) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-2 = 2

16 Riyad Mahrez (Leicester) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-0-1 = 2

Analysis: Jamie Vardy is suspended for Leicester’s home game with Swansea, while Everton’s Romelu Lukaku cut a forlong figure in the Merseyside derby as he suffered a fifth straight game without a goal.

Riyad Mahrez does the vast majority of his scoring on the road so that leaves Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero.

In theory, that’s just fine as this deadly duo are coming on strong again as the season reaches its climax.

Both will want to win the Premier League’s Golden Boot award for top scorer and both have scored five times in their last three games.

However, Manchester City host a Stoke side who are coming off thumpings against Liverpool and Spurs so Aguero’s price is pretty dreadful. Paddy Power go just 1/2 and that’s the sort of price we’re used to seeing on Messi and Ronaldo.

It’s a similar story with Kane – odds-on prices across the board – as Spurs host West Brom.

I can’t pretend there’s any great value therem but we need one for the acca so I’ll go with Kane given that City have one eye on Tuesday’s Champions League showdown with Real Madrid and Aguero could be withdrawn if his team get a couple of goals in front.

Kane has actually netted three braces in his last five games so is also worth considering at 7/2 to score two or more.

Best bet:

Harry Kane to score anytime v West Brom at 4/5

Championship Top Scorers

24 Andre Gray (Burnley) Last 6 games: 0-1-0-0-1-0 = 2

21 Ross McCormack (Fulham) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-1-1-0 = 2

18 Abel Hernandez (Hull City) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-0-0-0 = 2

17 Nakhi Wells (Huddersfield) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-0-0-1 = 3

16 Tomer Hemed (Brighton) Last 6 games: 0-3-0-0-0-2 = 5

16 Jonathan Kodjia (Bristol City) Last 6 games: 1-0-1-0-0-2 = 4

Analysis: Andre Gray has only one goal in four, while you could say Ross McCormack is due after three straight blanks.

However, backing him would go against everything this column about. We cash in on players scoring right now rather than anticipating when they might come good again so he’s passed by.

Jonathan Kodjia is a great option when Bristol City are playing at home (four in his last three) but hasn’t netted in his last four on the road so is overlooked for the Robins’ trip to Blackburn.

Tomer Hemed has scored seven goals in his last nine games for Brighton but he’s done that with a hat-trick and two braces. Another way of looking at it is that he hasn’t netted in six of his last eight matches so he’s not ideal for an anytime scorer punt.

Hull’s Abel Hernandez is an option at home to Leeds.

The visitors have found some decent form but haven’t actually kept a clean sheet in their last eight games.

That should boost Hernandez’s chances of a goal but, despite two in his last three, the Uruguayan hasn’t scored at home for over three months.

So let’s go with Nakhi Wells of Huddersfield.

The Terriers striker has found the net in 12 of his last 23 games so is averaging better than one in two since Christmas.

That run includes goals in his last two starts which really gets our attention so back him at 6/4 against a Birmingham side that has conceded 10 times in their last six matches.

Best bets:

Nakhi Wells to score anytime v Birmingham at 6/4

Huddersfield Town's Nahki Wells celebrates his goal

League One Top Scorers

22 Nicky Ajose (Swindon) Last 6 games: 0-0-1-0-1-0 = 2

21 Will Grigg (Wigan) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-2-0-2 = 6

20 Billy Sharp (Sheffield United) Last 6 games: 1-1-0-1-0-1 = 4

19 Sam Winnall (Barnsley) Last 6 games: 0-0-2-0-0-0 = 2

19 Adam Armstrong (Coventry) Last 6 games: 0-0-0-0-0-0 = 0

Analysis: It’s been a bit of a struggle for some of the division’s leading marksmen.

Adam Armstrong has gone 10 games without a goal, while top scorer Nicky Ajose hasn’t found the net in two matches since coming back from injury.

Will Grigg has done this column some favours in recent weeks but the hottest striker of the top bunch in League One now is Sheffield United’s Billy Sharp.

The No.10 netted in midweek at Shrewsbury and also last Saturday in the Blades’ 3-0 win at Chesterfield.

That makes it three in his last four so he’s ideal betting material and we’ll take him keep that run going in the home derby clash with Barnsley on Saturday lunchtime.

The Tykes can be hard to break down but Sharp can pierce the Barnsley defence and land us a 6/4 payout.

Best bet:

Billy Sharp to score anytime v Barnsley at 6/4

Billy Sharp, Sheffield United

League Two Top Scorers

26 Matty Taylor (Bristol Rovers) Last 6 games: 0-1-1-2-1-1 = 6

23 Jay Simpson (Leyton Orient) Last 6 games: 0-2-0-0-0-0 = 2

19 Lyle Taylor (AFC Wimbledon) Last 6 games: 2-0-1-2-0-0 = 5

18 John Akinde (Barnet) Last 6 games: 1-0-2-0-1-0 = 4

Analysis: We’ve been cashing in on Matty Taylor for weeks so is it right to abandon him now that his eight-game scoring streak is over?

The run came to an end in the 0-0 draw at Stevenage but Bristol Rovers host Exeter on Saturday and Taylor has netted in each of his last six home games.

Given that he’s an odds-against price, he has to be followed again. One blank game is allowed, especially if you’ve scored nine in the previous eight!

In theory, Lyle Taylor could be a good shout but he seems to do all his scoring on the road. His last seven goals have been on AFC Wimbledon’s travels so that severely reduces his appeal for the home game against Leyton Orient.

It’s a similar home/away bias story with Barnet’s John Akinde. All his recent goals have come at home so he doesn’t leap off the page for his side’s trip to Mansfield.

Jay Simpson isn’t in the sort of form he was earlier in the season so, all things considered, Taylor gets the nod again.

Best bets: 

Matty Taylor to score anytime v Exeter at 6/5

Best-priced goalscorer accumulator:

Kane, Wells, Sharp & Taylor at 21.04/1

Dave Tindall

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